Polymarket | The World's Largest Prediction Market™

25 bps decrease

Yes5%No95%

No change

94%

Yes94%No6%

25+ bps increase

$144M Vol.

MOUZ

76%

Natus Vincere

25%

MOUZ

Natus

Game 1

$1M Vol.

·CS2

FURIA

73%

TheMongolz

28%

FURIA

TheMongolz

$656K Vol.

·CS2· 5:00 PM

Karmine Corp

54%

G2 Esports

47%

Karmine

G2 Esports

$157K Vol.

·LoL· 5:30 PM

Jazz

50%

Grizzlies

51%

Jazz

Grizzlies

$655K Vol.

·NBA·Tomorrow 12:00 AM

Pacers

54%

Wizards

47%

Pacers

Wizards

$497K Vol.

·NBA·Tomorrow 12:00 AM

Canada

78%

Finland

23%

Canada

Finland

$517K Vol.

·Men's Hockey· 3:40 PM

How long will the DHS shutdown last?

10+ days

100%

Yes100%No<1%

14+ days

95%

Yes95%No5%

21+ days

75%

Yes75%No25%

30+ days

59%

Yes59%No41%

60+ days

18%

Yes18%No82%

$653K Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

39%

chance

Yes

$5M Vol.

Texas Democratic Senate Primary Winner

James Talarico

70%

Yes70%No30%

Jasmine Crockett

31%

Yes31%No69%

Emily Morgul

<1%

Colin Allred

<1%

Michael Swanson

<1%

$643K Vol.

Oscars 2026: Best Picture Winner

One Battle After Another

75%

Yes75%No25%

Sinners

14%

Hamnet

Marty Supreme

Sentimental Value

$16M Vol.

Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

17%

chance

Yes

$2M Vol.

What price will Bitcoin hit in February?

↑ 80,000

↑ 75,000

17%

Yes17%No83%

↓ 60,000

23%

Yes23%No77%

↓ 55,000

Yes8%No92%

↓ 50,000

$84M Vol.

Which company has the best AI model end of February?

Anthropic

85%

Yes85%No15%

Google

11%

xAI

OpenAI

DeepSeek

$18M Vol.

Who visited Epstein's Island?

Steve Bannon

29%

Yes29%No71%

Richard Branson

27%

Yes27%No73%

Woody Allen

23%

Yes23%No77%

Peter Attia

22%

Yes22%No78%

Bill Clinton

22%

Yes22%No78%

$464K Vol.

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

17%

chance

Yes

$5M Vol.

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

49%

chance

Yes

$161K Vol.

Champions League: Which teams advance to round of 16?

Newcastle United

100%

Yes100%No<1%

Paris Saint-Germain

96%

Yes96%No4%

Bayer Leverkusen

92%

Yes92%No8%

Real Madrid

91%

Yes91%No9%

Galatasaray

86%

Yes86%No14%

$1M Vol.

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance

24%

Yes24%No76%

Gavin Newsom

17%

Yes17%No83%

Marco Rubio

Yes8%No92%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Yes6%No94%

Kamala Harris

Yes3%No97%

$308M Vol.

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

None before 2027

19%

Yes19%No81%

Kristi Noem

17%

Yes17%No83%

Howard Lutnick

13%

Yes13%No87%

Lori Chavez-DeRemer

Yes9%No91%

Tulsi Gabbard

Yes7%No93%

$98K Vol.

Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner

Ken Paxton

76%

Yes76%No24%

John Cornyn

20%

Yes20%No80%

Wesley Hunt

Dawn Buckingham

<1%

Beth Van Duyne

<1%

$4M Vol.

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

chance

Yes

$30M Vol.

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

10%

chance

Yes

$449K Vol.

Which coalition will form the next Dutch government?

VVD + CDA + D66

99%

Yes99%No1%

No Coalition by October 31

PVV + GL/PvdA + VVD + CDA

<1%

PVV + JA21

<1%

PVV + VVD + JA21

<1%

$64M Vol.

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh

94%

Yes94%No6%

Judy Shelton

No one nominated before 2027

<1%

Christopher Waller

<1%

Rick Rieder

<1%

$499M Vol.

Elon Musk # tweets February 13 - February 20, 2026?

300-319

68%

Yes68%No32%

320-339

24%

Yes24%No76%

340-359

Yes6%No94%

360-379

380-399

<1%

$17M Vol.

English Premier League Winner

Arsenal

57%

Yes57%No43%

Man City

40%

Yes40%No60%

Aston Villa

Man United

Liverpool

<1%

$244M Vol.

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom

28%

Yes28%No72%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Kamala Harris

Jon Ossoff

Josh Shapiro

$685M Vol.

Next Prime Minister of Hungary

Péter Magyar

60%

Yes60%No40%

Viktor Orbán

39%

Yes39%No61%

István Kapitány

László Toroczkai

Klára Dobrev

<1%

János Lázár

<1%

$20M Vol.

Monthly

2026 NHL Stanley Cup Champion

NBA Western Conference Champion

Team Falcons

PARIVISION

100%

Team

PARIVISION

$3M Vol.

·CS2· 8:00 AM

French Ligue 1 Winner

PSG

83%

Yes83%No17%

Lens

13%

Yes13%No87%

Lyon

Marseille

<1%

Monaco

<1%

Lille

<1%

Nice

<1%

Angers

<1%

Strasbourg

<1%

Rennes

<1%

Toulouse

<1%

$7M Vol.

NBA MVP

$36M Vol.

La Liga Winner

Real Madrid

52%

Yes52%No48%

Barcelona

47%

Yes47%No53%

Villarreal

Betis

<1%

Atletico Madrid

<1%

Celta Vigo

<1%

Mallorca

<1%

Osasuna

<1%

Athletic Bilbao

<1%

Real Sociedad

<1%

Girona

<1%

$92M Vol.

Elon Musk # tweets February 17 - February 24, 2026?

60-79

<1%

80-99

<1%

100-119

<1%

120-139

<1%

140-159

<1%

160-179

<1%

180-199

<1%

200-219

<1%

220-239

240-259

260-279

$5M Vol.

Weekly

NBA Eastern Conference Champion

What price will Solana hit in February?

↑ 200

<1%

↑ 190

<1%

↑ 180

<1%

↑ 170

<1%

↑ 160

<1%

↑ 150

<1%

↑ 140

↑ 130

↑ 120

↓ 60

↓ 50

$11M Vol.

Monthly

US next strikes Iran on...?

Before March ET

26%

March 1

March 2

March 3

March 4

March 5

March 6

March 7

March 8

March 9

March 10

$6M Vol.

Monthly

Winter Games 2026: Ice Hockey Gold Medal Winner

Canada

48%

Yes48%No52%

United States

44%

Yes44%No56%

Finland

Yes7%No93%

Slovakia

Yes2%No98%

$17M Vol.

Next Prime Minister of the Netherlands

Winter Games 2026: 2nd Most Gold Medals

United States

88%

Yes88%No12%

Italy

Yes9%No91%

France

<1%

Germany

<1%

Switzerland

<1%

Sweden

<1%

Canada

<1%

China

<1%

Japan

<1%

Norway

<1%

Netherlands

<1%